L: All right, having trouble getting the economist to write. So in the meantime, here's a pretty interesting article about forecasting--weather forecasting AND economic forecasting. If you've been paying attention to economic reporting over the years, you know that there can be large weather effects in any given quarter of economic activity. Here's a prediction for the rest of this year from the Accuweather website:
"2018 Fall, Winter Weather Expected to Drastically Influence Consumer Spending in US"